Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.003289 0.003610 0.003953 0.004347 0.004787 0.005266 0.005827
2026-01-11 0.002714 0.003157 0.003664 0.004290 0.005045 0.005931 0.007058
2026-01-18 0.002382 0.002881 0.003478 0.004251 0.005234 0.006454 0.008100
2026-01-25 0.002134 0.002661 0.003315 0.004194 0.005362 0.006877 0.009026
2026-02-01 0.001968 0.002519 0.003225 0.004206 0.005559 0.007388 0.010100
2026-02-08 0.001809 0.002367 0.003101 0.004153 0.005650 0.007748 0.010987
2026-02-15 0.001663 0.002219 0.002967 0.004068 0.005682 0.008016 0.011753
2026-02-22 0.001572 0.002137 0.002915 0.004089 0.005859 0.008501 0.012891
2026-03-01 0.001518 0.002102 0.002923 0.004193 0.006164 0.009202 0.014439
2026-03-08 0.001421 0.001997 0.002823 0.004126 0.006198 0.009477 0.015311
2026-03-15 0.001332 0.001897 0.002721 0.004048 0.006204 0.009703 0.016117
2026-03-22 0.001263 0.001823 0.002654 0.004016 0.006278 0.010044 0.017157
2026-03-29 0.001212 0.001776 0.002627 0.004053 0.006481 0.010639 0.018770
2026-04-05 0.001143 0.001697 0.002548 0.004001 0.006529 0.010975 0.019951
2026-04-12 0.001084 0.001631 0.002483 0.003965 0.006601 0.011357 0.021264
2026-04-19 0.001028 0.001564 0.002412 0.003913 0.006638 0.011673 0.022481
2026-04-26 0.000988 0.001522 0.002380 0.003924 0.006789 0.012217 0.024248
2026-05-03 0.000940 0.001464 0.002316 0.003875 0.006821 0.012533 0.025559
2026-05-10 0.000891 0.001400 0.002240 0.003797 0.006792 0.012722 0.026610
2026-05-17 0.000862 0.001369 0.002217 0.003816 0.006951 0.013309 0.028662
2026-05-24 0.000848 0.001363 0.002236 0.003912 0.007272 0.014266 0.031747
2026-05-31 0.000809 0.001312 0.002174 0.003850 0.007266 0.014519 0.033128
2026-06-07 0.000771 0.001261 0.002109 0.003778 0.007232 0.014708 0.034370